自然辩证法视野下的气候变迁与历史演进关系再分析-《中国农史》

文章信息/Info

Title:: Reanalysis of the Relationship between Climate Change and Historical Evolution Based on the Perspective of Dialectics of Nature

Author(s):: LU Yong QU Jing; （Institution of Chinese Agricultural Civilization, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095）

摘要:: 当前，气候变化已成为全世界面临的共同挑战，一批学者尝试总结历史气候变化的规律，寻找其与历史演进的关系，进而为当下的气候问题提供历史借鉴。学界之前的相关研究成果多将气候变化与历史演进的关系概括为“冷抑暖扬”，这一观点为朝代更迭的阐释带入新的视角，但如果过分强调气候变化在历史进程中的作用，便会不自觉地陷入“气候决定论”。因而，理解气候变化与历史演进之关系需要将其置于自然辩证法的视野中加以谨慎审视，在分析时应统筹兼顾历史气候变化的时空差异。客观地看待历史气候，不可过分夸大或忽视气候的作用；注重不同证据的相互补证，采用学科交叉研究法加以全面分析，进而形成关于气候变化与历史演进关系的科学认知。

Abstract:: At present, climate change has become a common challenge faced by the whole world. A group of scholars try to summarize the law of historical climate change and find the relationship between it and historical evolution, so as to provide historical reference for the current climate issues. Most of the previous relevant research results in the academic field have summarized the relationship between climate change and historical evolution as "cold suppressing and warm increasing", which has brought a new perspective to the interpretation of dynasty change. However, if we overemphasized the role of climate change in the historical process, we would unconsciously fall into "climate determinism". Therefore, to understand the relationship between climate change and historical evolution, we need to examine it carefully based on dialectics of nature, and take into account the spatial and temporal differences of historical climate change in the analyses. In order to objectively understand the historical climate change, the impact of climate should not be exaggerated or ignored. At the same time, we should pay attention to the mutual corroboration of different evidence, and adopt interdisciplinary research methods to make a comprehensive analysis, so as to form a scientific understanding of the relationship between climate change and historical evolution.

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